- May 16, 2012
I think the first assumption people are making, namely that it takes 8 balls to win a OP games is causing difficulty in understanding just what the odds should be and what the % advantage actually is in any given game whare a spot is being offered.This is a great thread! My example assumes that it takes 8 balls to win a one-pocket game. When you leave that behind you encounter the variables that I mentioned, and it becomes a crapshoot, but I'm not convinced that it isn't a simple proportion. If it is not, then we need a genuine 24 karat expert. Dr. Dave Alciatore comes to mind, but maybe he's not a math guy. In a practical sense, it's two guys trying to agree on a game, whether they get it clinically correct or not.
If we are playing 9/7 the person going to 7 has a 22.222% advantage over the other player and the game is a game that takes 9 balls to win.
If we are playing 10/8 the person going to 8 has a 20% advantage and the game is a race to 10, not 8.
There is NO value per ball that remains the same regardless of how you change the game at hand.
This IS just simple math, and there is NO more to it than that. The values put on balls and games by JohnnyTronic and others (which I mean no disrespect towards) simply do not "hold water" as uncle Vinny said ...........
In a game of 10/8 you can say one or both of two things...... the lesser player is advantaged by 20%, or the better player is disadvantaged by 25%, it is math only...