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Old 02-15-2006, 12:24 PM
Donovan Donovan is offline
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Question 50/50...what would you do?

Hypothetically speaking (obviously without an actual situation this may be a tough discussion, but...) let's say after the break (no balls were made) and you come to the table faced with either a shot or a safety.

The shot has about a 50/50 chance of going and the leave is about 50/50 of being safe or getting you another shot at your hole.

The safety has a 50/50 chance of truly working out and you have a 50/50 chance of moving a ball closer to your hole if successful.

**For both options, let's say if you miss, you leave your opponent a fairly easy bank to his hole.

Obviously in real life situations we can sometimes be creative and accomplish even more than just 2 things in one shot, but let's stay hypothetical. Which path would say you are more likely to take and why?
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Old 02-15-2006, 12:30 PM
Shorty Shorty is offline
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Grady said it best...you gotta make a ball in order to win, or something like that anyway.

I would shoot it.

Shorty
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Old 02-15-2006, 01:44 PM
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hemicudas hemicudas is offline
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To me, this is a no brainer. It all depends on "Who" you are playing. If you are playing Efren,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, you've got to go for the ball. Anything you deem safe,,,,,,,,,,,,, Ain't.

Playing someone who can't run out, you might play the safe.
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Old 02-15-2006, 02:36 PM
Mike Mike is offline
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Of course, there are many things to consider: score, opponent, score in set, etc. etc. But in most cases I would go for the ball in these 50/50 examples. As Shorty said, "You gotta make balls to win."
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Old 02-15-2006, 02:57 PM
RileysDad RileysDad is offline
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Default Shoot for the win!

In this situation you really must shoot for your pocket since you have a 50% chance of winning -- and if you play the ball on the "pro" side, you can avoid the return bank.

If you just play the safety, you give your opponent the opportunity to make your position much worse or even win.



Weej
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Old 02-15-2006, 08:20 PM
jnav447 jnav447 is offline
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I was taught (and it's been confirmed over and over by the "masters") that if the shot and safe are equal in degree of difficulty, take the shot. I love the "Chicago squeeze" style of 1P, but you have to put offensive pressure on your opponent when practical or you'll allow your opponent too much leeway if he knows you won't shoot at anything.
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Old 02-15-2006, 09:38 PM
Wayne Wayne is offline
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Half the time I would shoot and the other half I would go for the safety.

Wayne
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Old 02-15-2006, 09:38 PM
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gulfportdoc gulfportdoc is offline
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I've always heard that as well: If there is just as much chance of making the ball as there is in playing a good safety, then go for the point. However, in actual play that equal opportunity doesn't seem to come up very often. Oftentimes fear can dictate playing a safety, when there is actually a reasonably makeable shot-- for example a cross-corner bank. So confidence (or sometimes recklessness) --rather than difficulty-- sometimes makes the decision.

Doc
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Old 02-15-2006, 09:42 PM
Donovan Donovan is offline
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Default Thanks for the responses!

It is great to see that everyone feels the same way I did about this. Thank you for the great responses. Sometimes posing a question even when you think you know the right answer, will give you an even better understanding of why. That is exactly what happened here. Thanks again.
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Old 02-15-2006, 10:03 PM
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hemicudas hemicudas is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gulfportdoc
I've always heard that as well: If there is just as much chance of making the ball as there is in playing a good safety, then go for the point. However, in actual play that equal opportunity doesn't seem to come up very often. Oftentimes fear can dictate playing a safety, when there is actually a reasonably makeable shot-- for example a cross-corner bank. So confidence (or sometimes recklessness) --rather than difficulty-- sometimes makes the decision.

Doc
Agreed, Doc. The score comes into play too. He needs one and I need them all, etc., It is going to make that cross corner with a possible out look much better.
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